KananFollow-Up Surveys and Estimates of Impact

The first follow-up survey for the NSP evaluation is to be conducted during the summer and fall of 2009 and will collect data across indicators similar to the baseline survey, with an interim report on the findings of the survey expected by December 2009. It is anticipated that the report will present the following:

  • Analysis of impact of NSP on the economic and social welfare of villagers, as measured by villagers’ access to critical infrastructure and services; level of villagers’ income and consumption; within-village inequality of income and consumption; impact of external shocks on villagers’ income and consumption; incidence of different forms of borrowing;
  • Analysis of impact of NSP on the level and distribution of agricultural and non-agricultural production, as measured by crop yields; diversification of crops under cultivation and other income sources; and extent of trade in agricultural and processed goods;
  • Analysis of impact of NSP on integration between villagers and national government, as measured by perceptions of central and sub-national government, acceptance of core functions of the central government, and acceptance of democratic norms;
  • Analysis of impact of NSP on female involvement in community governance and village life;
  • Analysis of impact of NSP on levels of communal trust and the incidence and resolution of disputes and feuds;
  • Analysis of impact of NSP on the structure and function of village governance, as measured by the roles and methods of selection of customary councils and decision-makers, methods of dispute resolution, and assignment of governance roles to village institutions, and of levels of satisfaction of villagers with local governance structures;
  • Analysis of extent to which NSP sub-projects reflect ex-ante preferences of male villagers, female villagers, and male elites.

The first follow-up survey is to be followed by a second follow-up survey, tentatively scheduled for summer and fall of 2010, which will assess longer-term impacts of NSP along the dimensions noted above.